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    Movement of Inflation and New Keynesian Phillips Curve in ASEAN

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    FEB_Movement of Inflation and New Keynesian Phillips Curve.pdf (19.45Mb)
    Date
    2021-03-10
    Author
    WARDHONO, Adhitya
    M. ABD. NASIR, M. Abd. Nasir
    QORI’AH, Ciplis Gema
    INDRAWATI, Yulia
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    Abstract
    The development of the theory of dynamic inflation begins by linking wage inflation and unemployment. In further developments, factor of expectation is classified into inflation model. The study used inflation data is important for ASEAN, because ASEAN is one of the strengths of the international economy. This study analyzes the dynamics of inflation in the ASEAN using framework the New-Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) model. The data used is the quarterly panel data from 5 ASEAN members in the period 2005.QI–2018.QIV. The study of this dynamic inflation applies quarter to quarter inflation data, meaning that the inflation rate is the percentage change in the general price of the current quarter compared to last quarter general price divided by the last quarter. The empirical results are estimated by using the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM), both of the system and first different indicates that the pattern formation of inflation expectations are backward-looking and forward-looking. In addition, the estimated NKPC models show the backward-looking behavior is more dominant than the forward looking. Changes in inflation are not entirely influenced by expectations of inflation in each country. Changes in inflation are also influenced by the output gap, changes in money supply, and exchange rate. Based on the findings of this study, it can be concluded that the NKPC models can explain the dynamics of inflation in each country in the ASEAN region.
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    https://repository.unej.ac.id/xmlui/handle/123456789/111513
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    • LSP-Jurnal Ilmiah Dosen [7410]

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    UPA-TIK Copyright © 2024  Library University of Jember
    Contact Us | Send Feedback

    Indonesia DSpace Group :

    University of Jember Repository
    IPB University Scientific Repository
    UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Institutional Repository