Analisis Pergeseran Sektor Ekonomi Unggulan Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten Jember; Titis Wahyu Widya Indra Lestari; 090810101041
Abstract
Jember economic growth in 2011 stood at 7 percent. It was influenced by
the growth of each sector of the economy that continues to increase every year.
Economic sectors that contribute most is the agricultural sector. The agricultural
sector is still a sector basis in Jember. However, sectoral growth continues to
decline. Most sectoral growth contributes to economic growth Jember is trade,
hotels and restaurants. Growth rate reached 10.66 percent. Of these problems shift
leading economic sector which was originally the primary sector to the tertiary
sector.
The purpose of this study is to determine what are the sectors that have a
comparative advantage in Jember by using the Location Quotient analysis to
determine the economic sector seed used shift shift share analysis and Esteban
Classical Marquillas and to determine the average change rate LQ, SS-classical
and SS-EM using trend analysis. With a GDP of data and Jember in East Java
province nine years 2000-2011 economic sector classification obtained from the
Central Bureau of Statistics.
From the analysis of Location Quotient (LQ) found that the sector is a
sector that is agriculture base consisting of food crops, plantation crops, livestock
sector and sub-sector results and forestry; mining sector, which consists of subexcavation;
finance, leasing and business services sub-sector comprising banks
and affected services sector general government sub-sectors, sub-sectors and
subsectors social entertainment and recreation.
Based on the classic shift share analysis, an increase in GDP of Jember is
influenced by three factors: Regional Share the impact of economic growth in
East Java that positively impact the growth of 11.8 billion dollars. Proportional Shift the industry mix effect gives a negative growth for the Jember 1.43 billion
dollars. While the Shift Differential effects of competitive advantages provide a
positive growth effect of 2.28 billion dollars. With the shift share analysis raises
Esteban Marquillas four components namely Alocation Effect economies, the
impact of the allocation in Jember negative growth impact 9.44 billion dollars.
Besides the shift share analysis can also detect Esteban Marquillas sector with a
competitive advantage and specialization. The sectors that have competitive
advantage and specialization are agriculture, manufacturing and services sector.
LQ trend analysis results, the sector experienced a positive trend or an
increase was agriculture, manufacturing, electricity, gas and water supply,
construction and trade, hotels and restaurants. Trend-classical SS and SS-EM is a
trend that is positive regional share component.