| dc.description.abstract | The national energy demand, especially the oil and gas sector, is increasing in line with the
increasing population and the condition of national economic growth which continues move
positively. The increase of energy demand is on average more than 5% per year for this decade.
Meanwhile, the condition of national oil and gas reserves and production sector continues to
decline every year. This has resulted in Indonesia becoming a net importer of oil and gas. Domestic
demand for natural gas increases every year, while on the other hand Indonesia still has
commitments to sell natural gas abroad, pipeline gas and LNG. For this reason, a more accurate
prediction of natural gas in Indonesia will be very helpful for policy makers so that policies taken
are right on target so that natural gas which should be consumed domestically is not exported
abroad. One of the good prediction methods is using artificial neural network (ANN). In this study,
the input data used are economic growth, population, and gas prices, while the output data is
natural gas consumption. This study uses five ANN architectural models that are formed. From
the simulation results, the best accuracy is model 1 with an accuracy of 96.89%. | en_US |
